It was the first day of the 2009 tennis season, and while nothing too spectacular happened, I was still thrilled. Thank goodness tennis has one of the shortest off-seasons in all of professional sports, because I don't know how much longer I could have lasted. As for the action that took place today...
Andy Roddick, who I'm still hoping makes a good run at the grand slams and maybe captures a few masters series shields this year, had a good day against Ivan Navarro in their first meeting. It's always nice to have an easy first official match of the season to get things underway. Monfils also did well, routing Jan Hernych. Both Fernando Verdasco and Dudi Sela (who I saw play at last year's New Haven tournament) won today. New Haven champ Marin Cilic also had a good day, but New Haven runner-up Mardy Fish wasn't quite so lucky, losing to Jurgen Melzer.
Fish is one of a few American players in their late twenties that I think may be on their ways out this year. James Blake is another. He lost again today, making his record for the season 0-2. At least his official ATP season hasn't started yet! He lost to Dominik Hrbaty in the Hopman Cup. Of course, I hope they both do well, but I wouldn't be shocked if they both started a slide.
The other big match of the day was Baghdatis/Nieminen, as I mentioned yesterday. Unfortunately, Baggy went down in three sets. He served under fifty percent and had eleven double faults. His ranking is hovering around 100 and he does not seem together, physically or mentally. It's a shame, because he's such a dynamic and fun player to watch, when he's on his game. He's only 23 - I hope he can pull himself together this year. He might just need a favorable draw to get some matches under his belt. Of course, that's tough when your ranking is slipping...
There's quite a few very exciting matches tomorrow, too. Nadal versus Fabrice Santoro! The magician just will not retire! Nadal should come through in straights, but I bet it will be entertaining. Also, Bobby Reynolds vs. Kei Nishikori (He's currently ranked 61, but I bet he finishes the year in the top 20) and the marquee match: Novak Djokovic against Ernests Gulbis. I don't think Gulbis has much of a shot tomorrow, but depending on how tight Djokovic is coming out of the off-season, an upset is an outside possibility. Regardless, expect Gulbis to make some waves over the course of the season.
And Federer looks to start off his year by beating Potito Starace for the fourth straight time. I'm sort of surprised to see that he's between a 12:1 or 23:1 favorite at the tennis odds websites I like to check. It could be 500:1 and it would still be a foolish bet. Federer wants to start 2009 better than he started 2008, and I'll bet he wants to do it emphatically.
Showing posts with label santoro. Show all posts
Showing posts with label santoro. Show all posts
Monday, January 5, 2009
Sunday, January 4, 2009
First week of 2009 preview
Looking ahead to the first week of the tennis season proper, there are some very intriguing matches. It's time for some players to make a statement that they're here to stay or that they're still around. There isn't much time to build some momentum going into the first grand slam of the season, so players have to take every opportunity that they can.
The most interesting path that any particular player has in front of him is Novak Djokovic, the top seed in Brisbane. His first three matches could be against Ernests Gulbis, Paul-Henri Mathieu, and then Kei Nishikori or Tomas Berdych. If he gets through that unscathed, he could face Verdasco, Ancic, Ferrero, or Mardy Fish in the semifinals. Since his season went longer than anyone else's, we'll see how he recovered in the short off-season.
The bottom half of the Brisbane draw isn't quite as stacked, but it's still very exciting. The best first-round match, I think, is Marcos Baghdatis versus the flying Finn Jarkko Nieminen. Baggy did not live up to his talent last year, so maybe he can turn things around in 2009. A solid start against a solid player like Jarkko is one way to get that off on the right foot. You've also got Stepanek, Soderling, and Gasquet, who are all contenders. But the real force in this half is JW Tsonga, the number two seed. I'm sure everyone would love to see another Tsonga-Djokovic match-up in the final. After Djoko won their first meeting in the AO final last year, Tsonga has won their next three meetings. There may be a rivalry developing here.
The Chennai event might seem less exciting, as it has a higher proportion of rising stars who haven't made their mark yet or tour veterans whose best days may be behind them. Top seed Davydenko really should come through this with no trouble, but there are some players who might upset Kolya. He should at least get to the quarters (H.T. Lee can come up with some good matches, but the Korean just turned 33) but at that point, he may find Marin Cilic, Dudi Sela, or Janko Tipsarevic waiting for him.
I like Ivo Karlovic in the bottom half, (there could be a second round Ivo v. Ivo match between Karlovic and Minar) but Carlos Moya is 4-0 against the ace machine. It will also be interesting to see if Stanislas Wawrinka and Rainier Schuettler can get their games back. Both had spectacular runs in the middle of 2008 (Schuettler's took him to the semifinals at Wimbledon) but had trouble the rest of the year. The Swiss #2 ended the year by losing his last four matches, and Schuettler went on an eight match losing streak between January and May. Any of those seeds could come out of the bottom half.
The real drama should take place in Doha this week. There aren't that many intriguing first round matches, but Nadal-Santoro should be fun. I'm glad to see the magician has decided not to retire, yet. Youzhny-Andreev could also be a close one. I'd like to see Youzhny have a more solid 2009 than he did in 2008, even though he was an infamous YouTube star.
If everything goes with the seeds, and it probably should - the only other possible spoiler I see is young Viktor Troicki - then we'll have a Nadal-Monfils, Roddick-Andreev, Tursunov-Murray, and Kohlschreiber-Federer quarterfinal round. Then, potentially, a Roddick-Nadal and Murray-Federer (Round 7!) semis. Whoever can make it through this field is going to have the biggest boost to start their season. I like Murray, honestly, since he beat the the top two players in the world last week at Abu Dhabi. Could this be the Scot's year?
The most interesting path that any particular player has in front of him is Novak Djokovic, the top seed in Brisbane. His first three matches could be against Ernests Gulbis, Paul-Henri Mathieu, and then Kei Nishikori or Tomas Berdych. If he gets through that unscathed, he could face Verdasco, Ancic, Ferrero, or Mardy Fish in the semifinals. Since his season went longer than anyone else's, we'll see how he recovered in the short off-season.
The bottom half of the Brisbane draw isn't quite as stacked, but it's still very exciting. The best first-round match, I think, is Marcos Baghdatis versus the flying Finn Jarkko Nieminen. Baggy did not live up to his talent last year, so maybe he can turn things around in 2009. A solid start against a solid player like Jarkko is one way to get that off on the right foot. You've also got Stepanek, Soderling, and Gasquet, who are all contenders. But the real force in this half is JW Tsonga, the number two seed. I'm sure everyone would love to see another Tsonga-Djokovic match-up in the final. After Djoko won their first meeting in the AO final last year, Tsonga has won their next three meetings. There may be a rivalry developing here.
The Chennai event might seem less exciting, as it has a higher proportion of rising stars who haven't made their mark yet or tour veterans whose best days may be behind them. Top seed Davydenko really should come through this with no trouble, but there are some players who might upset Kolya. He should at least get to the quarters (H.T. Lee can come up with some good matches, but the Korean just turned 33) but at that point, he may find Marin Cilic, Dudi Sela, or Janko Tipsarevic waiting for him.
I like Ivo Karlovic in the bottom half, (there could be a second round Ivo v. Ivo match between Karlovic and Minar) but Carlos Moya is 4-0 against the ace machine. It will also be interesting to see if Stanislas Wawrinka and Rainier Schuettler can get their games back. Both had spectacular runs in the middle of 2008 (Schuettler's took him to the semifinals at Wimbledon) but had trouble the rest of the year. The Swiss #2 ended the year by losing his last four matches, and Schuettler went on an eight match losing streak between January and May. Any of those seeds could come out of the bottom half.
The real drama should take place in Doha this week. There aren't that many intriguing first round matches, but Nadal-Santoro should be fun. I'm glad to see the magician has decided not to retire, yet. Youzhny-Andreev could also be a close one. I'd like to see Youzhny have a more solid 2009 than he did in 2008, even though he was an infamous YouTube star.
If everything goes with the seeds, and it probably should - the only other possible spoiler I see is young Viktor Troicki - then we'll have a Nadal-Monfils, Roddick-Andreev, Tursunov-Murray, and Kohlschreiber-Federer quarterfinal round. Then, potentially, a Roddick-Nadal and Murray-Federer (Round 7!) semis. Whoever can make it through this field is going to have the biggest boost to start their season. I like Murray, honestly, since he beat the the top two players in the world last week at Abu Dhabi. Could this be the Scot's year?
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