Saturday, March 6, 2010

Davis Cup First Round, Day One

With the first day of tennis for this year's Davis Cup complete, things have gone largely as expected. There are a few minor surprises, but I'll note the things that have progressed as one might have thought they would, first.

Russia lost only one set against India, with Kunitsyn losing the first in a tiebreak to Devvarman before winning in four. The Czechs didn't even lose one set to Belgium, with Berdych even serving Olivier Rochus a bagel in the second. Croatia is up two rubbers to none, but Karlovic had to work for it. Nicolas Lapentti took him to five sets, but he came out on top in the end.

France is up 2-0 on Germany, with the team only dropping one set as well, which Tsonga lost to Benjamin Becker. Serbia is also up 2-0 over the USA, with Querrey and Isner both falling in four sets. They were both hard-fought matches, but the big Americans just weren't as suited to or as comfortable as their opponents on the clay.

Chile and Israel have yet to start their tie yet, but will get underway tomorrow. That leaves the two ties which are - so far - the most competitive. Sweden is 1-1 against Argentina, which is most surprising because Nalbandian has not stepped on court for the Argentine team yet. Leonardo Mayer showed a lot of class in getting his first Davis Cup win against Joachim Johansson. It will be interesting to see if the Argentine captain then swaps out one of his singles players for Nalbandian, and if so - which one.

The most interesting result of the first day in the world group (although it isn't quite a surprise) is that Spain and Switzerland are 1-1, with Wawrinka beating Almagro in the day's second five-setter. Ferrer turned the tide on Chiudinelli, beating him in straights, but the damage was already done. The doubles will be incredibly important, because while I don't think that Switzerland can get both of the points on the second day of doubles, they have a shot at one of them. It would be amazing if Spain lost in the first round at home this year - and by that, I mean that I don't see it happening. It's too much to ask of Stan "the Man," since he's only 1-4 in doubles play in his career in the Davis Cup, anyway.

The best match of the day, though, didn't even take place in the World Group. In Group 1 of the Europe/Africa zone, Poland played Finland, and Jarkko Nieminen beat Michael Przysiezny (ranked 137) by the score 6-7(5) 7-6(4) 6-7(5) 7-6(7) 6-4. Nieminen may have saved match points in that fourth set tiebreak (I'm not sure) but he was on the verge of defeat for sure. I didn't see any match that went past 6-6 in the fifth in today's play (I may have missed it, I'll admit) so this was officially the closest match of the day.

A few other things worthy of note - Marcos Baghdatis breezed through his match for Cyprus, and Britain is 1-1 against Lithuania even without Andy Murray! Maybe if they can win, he'll be convinced to give it another shot. Latvia, however, is getting blitzed by Ukraine without recent titlist Ernests Gulbis. Australia is doing fine against Chinese Taipei without the injured Lleyton Hewitt, as well. Tomic and Luczak both won their matches. Grigor Dimitrov also got Bulgaria's only point against Monaco, which is a good result for the teen. Dimitrov, despite being only 18 years old, is 8-1 in Davis Cup play, including 7-0 in singles. Could we see Bulgaria in the world group, in the next few years?

Tomorrow, play really gets interesting. Quite a few teams will wrap up their ties with the doubles, but at worst, somebody will be one point from victory. This is some of the most exciting and interesting doubles action during the whole year. Enjoy!

Thursday, March 4, 2010

Davis Cup 2010 First Round Preview

Tomorrow, the 2010 Davis Cup kicks off with all 16 teams in action. That means there will be 32 singles matches in the next three days and 8 doubles matches. Half of the teams in the World Group will be eliminated, while the rest will move on to the quarterfinals. There are some intriguing match-ups here, but with a surprising majority of the top players sidelined, maybe not the matches we would have anticipated when the draw first appeared. For example...

Spain v. Switzerland, in Spain on indoor red clay

Everyone expected this to be a meeting between Nadal and Federer. But neither player is in action this week. That leaves Switzerland with its number two man, Stan Wawrinka, in the lead spot. Thankfully, in the past year, the Swiss number 3 player Marco Chiudinelli has made some noise on the tour, and he may be a force in this tie. Especially considering that the Spaniards are down to their number four player to lead their singles. After Nadal, Verdasco and Ferrero are both out for the weekend as well, leaving David Ferrer and Tommy Robredo as the top two players. Surprisingly, Spain isn't sending out Robredo for the singles, opting instead for Nicolas Almagro. Robredo will be playing doubles, which makes sense. In addition to having the fifth highest-singles ranking, he has the highest doubles ranking among any of his countrymen. He'll be partnering with the second-highest ranked Spaniard in doubles, Marcel Granollers. For the Swiss, Wawrinka will be partnering Yves Allegro.

As Spain is the twice-defending champion of the Davis Cup scene, it's unlikely that they'll lose in the first round, despite missing many of their top players. Wawrinka needs to win both of his singles matches and hope that Chiudinelli can pull of an upset. If I were the Swiss captain, I would actually pull Wawrinka from the doubles and just consider that a lost point, rather than tiring out the team's anchor. Advantage to Spain, definitely.

France v. Germany, in France on indoor hard court

France has its top two players in action this week, which should help their chances immensely against Germany, which is without its Davis Cup stalwart Tommy Haas. The Germans are still fielding their next best options, with Kohlschreiber and Benjamin "Not Boris" Becker. It's going to be tough for them to do much against Tsonga and Monfils, though. Add to that the fact that the French have Llodra and Benneteau for the doubles, who have already won a title this year, and Germany will have a tough road to travel. Christopher Kas is a perfectly competent doubles player, but the French team will have to play well worse than their best for the Germans to have a chance here.

Russia v. India, in Russia on indoor hard court

One of the two stone-cold locks of the first round this year, Russia will never lose to India at home. Even without Safin, even without Davydenko, who withdrew with injury, Russia should have very little trouble. The Russian team is headed by Andreev and Youzhny, who should have no trouble with either Somdev Devvarman or Rohan Bopanna. Russia may lose the doubles point, as Bhupathi and Paes are both top 10 doubles players, but they will need an absolutely stunning performance to win even one singles point, much less two.

Croatia v. Ecuador, in Croatia on indoor hard court

This would be the other lock. Marin Cilic is one of the hottest players on tour at the moment, and Karlovic is deadly on this kind of surface, with no wind to worry about on his toss. And their opponents will be the hard-working but not especially accomplished Lapentti brothers, Nicolas and Giovanni. Tough to pick the Ecuadorians to win more than a point, here.

Sweden v. Argentina, in Sweden on indoor hard court

This one looked like it could have been a rout, with Argentina's best players out of the picture, they were left with Horacio Zeballos and Leonardo Mayer leading the charge. But at the last minute, David Nalbandian rejoined the team. While his health may be an issue, he should at least give the Argentines a chance of escpaing this round and being one of the few possible home-court upsets this weekend. The Swedes have top player Robin Soderling but strangely enough, he's the only Swedish player in the top 100. For Argentina, Zeballos, Schwank, and Mayer are all inside the top 75, and Nalbandian is a former world number 3. If Nalbandian is healthy and able to play, the visiting team has a shot here.

Serbia v. United States of America, in Serbia on indoor clay courts

Tough first round for the Americans, especially without Roddick, Blake, or Mardy Fish. First-timers John Isner and Sam Querrey will face off against Novak Djokovic and Viktor Troicki. A win by Isner on either day would be an upset, but Querrey is the more experienced and capable clay court player. Unfortunately for the U.S., the doubles point isn't even a sure thing, as the Bryan Brothers will be facing Nenad Zimonjic, currently a part of the best doubles team in the world. If the U.S. can win the doubles, then either Querrey will need to upset Djokovic or Isner will need to upset Troicki. Otherwise, Serbia's through.

Belgium v. Czech Republic, in Belgium on indoor clay courts

This is an interesting match-up. One of the toughest home ties (the top teams seem to all have the home field advantage, except for the Czechs) the Belgians have four moderately good players on their squad, but no real stand-outs. The Rochus brothers, a recovering Xavier Malisse, and challenger regular Steve Darcis will be facing Tomas Berdych, Radek Stepanek, Jan Hajek and Lukas Dlouhy. Dlouhy is an excellent doubles player, but there's not much to say about Hajek. Berdych's power will be slowed by the clay, somewhat, and Stepanek has not had a great year so far. It's tough to bet against the Czechs, as they just came back from an appearance in the finals last year, but the Belgians have a shot.

Chile v. Israel, in Chile on outdoor clay courts

The most poignant first-round match-up, for sure. After the recent earth-quake in Chile, how will the fans, the players, the stadium hold up to play there so soon? The Chileans have their best players, and they always play their best at home. Gonzalez, Massu, Capdeville and Aguilar are a tough team. The Israeli team is going to be struggling to match the effort they made last year, beating the Swiss in Sweden and then upsetting the Russians at home. This match will hinge entirely on how the Chileans, fans and players, are able to get into the tennis after such an enormous tragedy. I hope that this presents an opportunity for the country to come together for a short while and relish in international competition, the way they usually do. They actually need it now more than ever.

Monday, March 1, 2010

Week 8 Review

With another week of tennis in the bag, we had one new titlist and a pair of matches that had just taken place a week before, with the results switched. This next week is a short week, with only Davis Cup taking place on the men's side, so I'll have some other things to talk about in the next few days. But first, to look back on the previous week.

The final in Acapulco was perhaps the most exciting, as it was a rematch of last week's final in Buenos Aires, which the elder Spaniard had won in three, despite a pretty bad head-to-head against his opponent. Ferrer was denied his first title since 2008 in Argentina, but he would not be denied again in Mexico, which would be his last chance on clay for a month. But ultimate, Ferrero was just too tired from having won 14 straight matches, and wilted in the third set to go down 1-6. After his run, Ferrero's ranking is up to 14, his highest since 2004. Both Spaniards should be excited for the European Clay Court swing in April.

In Dubai, we also had a repeat match in the final, with Youzhny against Djokovic. They had played in last week's semis in Rotterdam, with the Russian eking out a win in two tiebreak sets. He then went on to retire against Soderling in the final, so it may be surprising that he was able to make a sustained run to the finals again this week in Dubai. He didn't look like he was going to be able to mount the same kind of resistance though, going down a set and a break in short order before heavy rain began to fall and the match was delayed until the following day. He staged a comeback, winning the second set 7-5, but still lost in three. Youzhny is now 5-9 in career finals, while Djokovic is 17-11. It's pretty clear which record you would prefer. Both players should be eager for the upcoming pair of hard court Masters Series events.

But the most exciting final of the weekend was a first-time match-up between Ivo Karlovic (who turned 31 on the day of the match) in his first final since 2008, and Ernests Gulbis, in his first final since, well, ever. Gulbis, for those who don't know, has been a very highly-touted player for several years, with an enormous amount of talent but maybe not the dedication to win. This is not only his first title, but it's his first ATP final. Karlovic didn't play his best today, but Gulbis played the way people have thought he was capable for quite a while. He broke one of the best servers in the game five times in nine service games.

The question will be whether this was the first step in a real emergence, or whether it was a fluke, somewhat like his quarterfinal run at the French Open in 2008. He'll have a week to digest his victory and then see if he can make a dent at Indian Wells or Miami. But there's really no reason for him not to make it to the top 20.

This was also a good week for the Bryan brothers, who won their 600th match as a doubles pair and won the title in Del Ray. This should help them on their way to the Davis Cup match in Serbia, but unfortunately, their compatriots did not do terribly well in Mexico. Querrey and Isner failed to win a match, but at least that gave them plenty of time to get to the new courts and get used to the conditions. They can only hope that Djokovic will be a bit tired from winning the tournament.

I'll have a full Davis Cup preview before the thing starts up on Friday, and I hope to have some other things up in the meantime.