Sunday, October 24, 2010

Week 42 Wrap-up and Week 43 Preview

Things went about as expected in the finals this week. Roger Federer handled a spirited challenge from German Florian Mayer without too much difficulty, equaling Pete Sampras's record of total titles won in the process, while Viktor Troicki managed to outlast a frustrated Marcos Baghdatis to claim his maiden title in Moscow. Baggy got extremely upset with some questionable line calls, even going so far as to spit at an line judge. Now he's justified in getting upset, but that's just not okay. Here's hoping that Moscow will have Hawkeye next year, and this won't be a problem.

As for Federer, kudos for reaching that milestone in your career, but with the sort of field he had to deal with in Stockholm, coupled with underperforming fellow seeds, it would have been pretty sad if he couldn't clinch this one. Florian Mayer in the final? Can't really ask for a better opponent when you're going for a record like that. But it also moves Federer squarely into second place in terms of matches won over the course of the year, even though he's still 14 match wins behind Nadal, and four titles, as well.

Looking ahead to next week, the fields are a little bit sparser. We're in the home stretch of the tournament calendar now, with only three weeks of regular action left in the season. So some players are scrambling to get all the action they can, trying to accumulate points and prize moeny before the off-season, while others are waiting to make a big push at next week's pair of 500 tournaments or the season-ending Masters in Paris. Still others have basically checked out already, either officially (Juan Martin Del Potro has called it quits for this season, but I can't blame him - more time to recover from surgery is a good thing) or unofficially. If you see some players just going through the motions to avoid fines or pick up appearance fees, you can probably guess what's going on.

There's only one top ten player in action: Mikhail Youzhny, currently world number 9, is the top seed in St. Petersburg, where the rest of the field is not anything to get excited about. The second seed is Sergiy Stakhovsky, ranked #35 in the world. If he's healthy, Youzhny has no reason not to go deep at this tournament, as he shouldn't face anyone but qualifiers, wildcards, or clay-court specialists before the semifinals. After that, things can get a bit more interesting - last week's champion Troicki is in the draw, as is Dolgopolov and wildcard Tursunov. This may be his best chance this year to have a good run and get some momentum before the end of the season.

The bottom half of the draw in St. Petersburg is a who's-who of second-tier Eastern European tennis players. There are a bunch of guys who just on the verge of reaching the top of the game, but haven't been able to do it yet: Gabashvili, Tipsarevic, Istomin, Stakhovsky, and Igor Andreev. Should be fun to see them in action, as well as Frenchmen Jeremy Chardy and Paul-Henri Mathieu. Any number of people could make it out of this half of the draw.

The biggest news of the week is actually the return of former world number one Thomas Muster, who's been given a wildcard into the Bank Austria Tennis Trophy tournament. The 43-year old winner of the 1995 French Open has been trying to make a comeback on the challenger circuit this year, but he's gone 1-6 in matches at that level. He drew fifth-seed Ernests Gulbis in the first round, and that's just an entirely different level of competition. It's an ill-advised comeback attempt, all around, and while I wish him well, I don't give him much of a shot. Head on over to the Champions tour if you're itching for match player, Mr. Muster.

The draw in Vienna is moderately strong, with four players from the top 20, and both of last week's losing finalists. Baghdatis and Florian Mayer could play in the second round, in fact. Another potentially good second-round match is James Blake and top Austrian player Jurgen Melzer. Marin Cilic is also in town, as well as Phillip Kohlschreiber and Nicolas Almagro. Some good players here in Vienna, and there could be late round fireworks, if people live up to their seedings.

The situation is much the same Montpellier, which has five top 20 players but nobody in the top 10. Nikolay Davydenko is the top seed, but with the form he's in, he's nowhere near the favorites to win the tournament, even with a favorable draw. The draw also features Tsonga, Monfils, Llodra, Gasquet, Gilles Simon, Nicolas Mahut (who won a challenger today against Bulgarian up-and-comer Grigor Dimitrov without breaking serve) and Arnaud Clement make up a strong French contingent. But don't count out David Nalbandian, Ivan Ljubicic, or John Isner. Jarkko Nieminen, who played some excellent tennis in Stockholm, is also lurking in the draw.

It's certainly not a likely outcome, but there's an outside chance of a semifinal rematch between Isner and Mahut, which would be great publicity if it did come to pass. Still, I don't think I see it happening.